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Nature Climate Change Contents: October 2018 Volume 8 Number 10

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Nature Climate Change

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October 2018 Volume 8, Issue 10

Books & Arts
Research Highlights
News & Views
Amendments & Corrections
Meet the shortlist!

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Timing is everything    p841



Indonesia’s NDC bodes ill for the Paris Agreement    p842
Luca Tacconi



Climate engineering needs a clean bill of health    pp843 - 845
Colin J. Carlson & Christopher H. Trisos

Mitigation scenarios must cater to new users    pp845 - 848
Christopher Weber, David L. McCollum, Jae Edmonds, Pedro Faria, Alban Pyanet et al.

The scientific response to Antarctic ice-shelf loss    pp848 - 851
Jeroen Ingels, Richard B. Aronson & Craig R. Smith

Books & Arts


The politics of carbon pricing    p852
Kathryn Harrison

Burden sharing at the water’s edge    p853
Maxwell Boykoff

Research Highlights


Risk drivers    p854
Alastair Brown

Solar power reduced by haze    p854
Adam Yeeles

Loss of sea-ice algae    p854
Graham Simpkins

Pacific oxygen changes    p854
Bronwyn Wake

Nature Climate Change
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News & Views


A risk-seeking future    pp855 - 856
Greer Gosnell

Valuing climate damages at the country level    pp856 - 857
Frances C. Moore

Atmospheric rivers melt Greenland    pp857 - 858
William Neff

Fast microbes regulate slow soil feedbacks    pp859 - 860
Elise Pendall




Sequencing to ratchet up climate policy stringency    pp861 - 867
Michael Pahle, Dallas Burtraw, Christian Flachsland, Nina Kelsey, Eric Biber et al.

Meeting the Paris Agreement climate goals requires increasingly ambitious climate policy. A framework for ratcheting up stringency through policy sequencing is proposed and illustrated using the cases of Germany and California, USA.




Rapid coastal deoxygenation due to ocean circulation shift in the northwest Atlantic    pp868 - 872
Mariona Claret, Eric D. Galbraith, Jaime B. Palter, Daniele Bianchi, Katja Fennel et al.

Global ocean oxygen concentrations have been declining, with rates varying regionally. The retreat of the Labrador Current, allowing more low-oxygen subtropical waters to the coastal and shelf waters, drives the rapid decline observed in the northwest Atlantic Ocean.


Differential vulnerability to climate change yields novel deep-reef communities    pp873 - 878
Martin Pierre Marzloff, Eric C. J. Oliver, Neville S. Barrett, Neil J. Holbrook, Lainey James et al.

Deep reefs and their inhabitants are diverse, but environmental change, in particular warming, will cause these reefs found along southeastern Australia to tropicalize with different responses across functional groups, resulting in novel communities by the 2060s.


Rapid change in East Antarctic terrestrial vegetation in response to regional drying    pp879 - 884
Sharon A. Robinson, Diana H. King, Jessica Bramley-Alves, Melinda J. Waterman, Michael B. Ashcroft et al.

Vegetation in the Windmill Islands, East Antarctica, is changing rapidly in response to a drying climate. Mosses provide potentially important indicators of coastal climate change in the region.


Microbial temperature sensitivity and biomass change explain soil carbon loss with warming    pp885 - 889
Tom W. N. Walker, Christina Kaiser, Florian Strasser, Craig W. Herbold, Niki I. W. Leblans et al.

Soil microbial activity is accelerated by warming and does not acclimate over periods of at least 50 years. Resulting soil carbon loss is nevertheless temporary because substrate depletion reduces microbial biomass and constrains the influence of microbes over the ecosystem.




High-risk high-reward investments to mitigate climate change    pp890 - 894
Talbot M. Andrews, Andrew W. Delton & Reuben Kline

In economic games, players shift to riskier contributions when targets that prevent catastrophic losses cannot be met otherwise, suggesting people are willing to invest in riskier technology when more certain options will not be sufficient to mitigate climate change.


Country-level social cost of carbon    pp895 - 900
Katharine Ricke, Laurent Drouet, Ken Caldeira & Massimo Tavoni

Global estimates of the economic impacts of CO2 emissions may obscure regional heterogeneities. A modular framework for estimating the country-level social cost of carbon shows consistently unequal country-level costs.


Low clouds link equilibrium climate sensitivity to hydrological sensitivity    pp901 - 906
Masahiro Watanabe, Youichi Kamae, Hideo Shiogama, Anthony M. DeAngelis & Kentaroh Suzuki

The connections between global mean temperature and precipitation responses to CO2 doubling (equilibrium climate and hydrological sensitivity) are driven through low-cloud responses to surface warming, according to MIROC5 perturbation experiments.


Latitudinal limits to the predicted increase of the peatland carbon sink with warming    pp907 - 913
Angela V. Gallego-Sala, Dan J. Charman, Simon Brewer, Susan E. Page, I. Colin Prentice et al.

Analysis of peatland carbon accumulation over the last millennium and its association with global-scale climate space indicates an ongoing carbon sink into the future, but with decreasing strength as conditions warm.


Reconciling global-model estimates and country reporting of anthropogenic forest CO2 sinks    pp914 - 920
Giacomo Grassi, Jo House, Werner A. Kurz, Alessandro Cescatti, Richard A. Houghton et al.

The model–inventory discrepancy in net land-use carbon emissions mainly results from conceptual differences in estimating anthropogenic forest sinks. A revised disaggregation of global land model results allows greater comparability with inventories.


Amendments & Corrections


Author Correction: A re-examination of the projected subtropical precipitation decline    p921
Jie He & Brian J. Soden

Author Correction: Climate–carbon cycle uncertainties and the Paris Agreement    p921
P. B. Holden, N. R. Edwards, A. Ridgwell, R. D. Wilkinson, K. Fraedrich et al.

Author Correction: Achieving a climate justice pathway to 1.5 °C    p921
Mary Robinson & Tara Shine

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